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Christopher  Smart

Christopher Smart

Founder, Arbroath Group, Global Investor & Geopolitical Strategist

Christopher Smart

Founder, Arbroath Group, Global Investor & Geopolitical Strategist

Biography

Dr. Christopher Smart is the rare professional who has both advised U.S. presidents on global economic policy and delivered proven investment returns managing international portfolios. As founder and managing partner of the Arbroath Group, the strategy firm, his policy insider access and market success make him an unparalleled guide for navigating today’s complex geopolitical investment landscape.

As Special Assistant to President Obama (2013-2015), Dr. Smart advised on trade, investment and global economic issues from the White House Situation Room during major international crises. Earlier, as Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Treasury, he led the U.S. response to the European financial crisis and managed economic engagement across Europe, Russia and Central Asia.

Dr. Smart’s investment expertise is equally distinguished. At Barings, he served as Chief Global Strategist and founded the Barings Investment Institute. Earlier, he managed top-performing emerging markets and international portfolios at Pioneer Investments. This rare combination of crisis management experience and investment success enables him to translate policy developments into actionable market insights.

A frequent guest on CNBC and Bloomberg TV, Dr. Smart writes Leading Thoughts, the popular Substack blog on geopolitics and markets. He also writes regular columns for Barron’s, Bloomberg Opinion, the Financial Times and Foreign Policy. He has been a Senior Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Harvard Kennedy School and Chatham House.

Fluent in Russian and French, he holds a Ph.D. in International Relations from Columbia University, a B.A. from Yale, and the CFA designation.

Speaker Videos

Christopher Smart, Managing Partner, Arbroath Group (2 mins)

Speech Topics

Managing Global Business Through Rising Geopolitical Risk: Turning Uncertainty into Strategy

The future is unknowable — but the risks from China, Russia, and the Middle East are not. Too often, executives and investors review their risks in detail, only to throw up their hands at the “dark cloud” called geopolitics. Drawing on experience from both the White House and the global investment world, Christopher Smart shows leaders how to separate signal from noise, focus on the decisions that matter, and anticipate shifts that will affect strategy.

This talk provides a practical framework to narrow uncertainty so that business leaders can make better choices about where to deploy capital, how to adjust business strategy and when volatility creates new opportunities.

Audience Takeaways:

  • A clear framework to distinguish real systemic risks from short-term noise.
  • Practical strategies for corporate boards and investors to act in uncertain times.
  • Lessons from both markets and policymaking to guide leadership decisions.

Dollar Dominance & the Geopolitics of Crypto

The dollar’s dominance has survived de-pegging from gold, deteriorating fiscal discipline and the active efforts of criminals, terrorists and resentful foreign governments to find alternatives. Now this central pillar of U.S. geopolitical influence faces a fresh challenge from digital currencies that promise to move money and other assets with the ease of an email and the security of an armored truck.

The Trump administration’s bet on U.S. dollar stablecoins could reinforce the dollar’s role as the world’s primary reserve currency, but success will require vigorous enforcement of the rules that govern this new form of money across what may soon become an unruly global community of dollar stablecoin issuers.

Audience Takeaways:

  • Washington’s challenge in reinforcing the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency.
  • How dollar stablecoins will transform global financial flows for better – and worse.
  • How rules for moving money across borders are about to turn much more complicated.

Venezuela, Greenland & the Return of the Great Game

At the heart of U.S.-China competition in trade and innovation lies a far grittier struggle to control strategic lands and crucial resources. Investors and executives need to watch closely how the next chapter evolves as they parse the headlines ahead from the world’s newest hotspots. For all the focus on artificial intelligence and virtual work models, access to physical energy, rare earths and key transport routes will be as important as ever.

Christopher Smart brings unique insights from both Washington and global markets to explain the forces driving U.S.–China relations, what business leaders should expect in the coming decade, and how companies and investors can adapt strategies to manage risk and seize opportunity in the new era of economic rivalry.

Audience Takeaways:

  • Where will the contest for resources next flare up?
  • How will Presidents Trump and Xi try to contain the risks?
  • Practical steps organizations can take to manage exposure and capture opportunities.

Can Markets Keep Rising When the World Is Falling Apart (Breakout / Fireside Chat)

Markets often defy the headlines. War, sanctions, and political upheaval don’t always drive stocks and bonds the way we expect. This session unpacks why — and how investors and executives can avoid overreacting to the latest crisis. Christopher Smart draws on decades in portfolio management and policy to explain the counterintuitive forces that push markets higher when the news cycle is grim.

Best Format: 45–60 minute interactive session or moderated fireside chat.

Audience Takeaways:

  • Why markets often rise amid global crises.
  • Key indicators that matter more than headlines.
  • How to avoid costly overreactions to political shocks

How to Invest in a Trade War (Breakout / Workshop)

Trade wars are disruptive — but not always in predictable ways. This session explores the second- and third-order effects of tariffs, sanctions, and industrial policy on industries, supply chains, and asset classes. Participants gain a grounded view of where risks and opportunities lie in an era of economic nationalism.

Best Format: 60–90 minute workshop with Q&A and audience interaction.

Audience Takeaways:

  • Which sectors and regions are most vulnerable in a trade war?
  • How investors and businesses can build resilience into portfolios and supply chains.
  • Framework for scenario planning under prolonged trade tensions.