World Renowned Economist
Nouriel Roubini is the Chairman and CEO of Roubini Macro Associates, LLC, his own global macroeconomic consultancy firm. He is also a professor of economics at New York University’s Stern School of Business. Dr. Roubini has extensive policy experience as well as broad academic credentials. From 1998 to 2000, he served as the senior economist for international affairs on the White House Council of Economic Advisors and then the senior advisor to the undersecretary for international affairs at the U.S. Treasury Department, helping to resolve the Asian and global financial crises, among other issues. The International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and numerous other prominent public and private institutions have drawn upon his consulting expertise. Read More >
Ten Trends in a Global Economy
Evidence of a New Economic Revolution
The Future of Labor
When to Expect the Next US Economic Crash: Bloomberg
The outlook for the global economy and financial markets is mixed. The positives and upside include a pick-up in global growth after years of a new mediocre, profitable corporate firms, better business and consumer confidence, more optimistic investors with markets in risk-on mode, the rise of emerging markets, new technologies and innovation. The downside are however several: uncertainties about Trumponomics, the risks of European and Eurozone dis-integration, the potential for a hard landing of highly indebted China, the sluggish global growth and productivity in a world of high private and public debts, the frothiness in financial markets and the risks of assets and credit bubbles fed by easy monetary policies, the backlash against globalization and geopolitical risks. Markets are now bullish is not bubbly but the economies are still sluggish. Roubini argues that a new policy framework is needed to minimize the downsides and maximize the upsides.
Uncertainties remain about the economic policies of Trump and their impact on the US economy and markets. Since the presidential election investors have become bullish pushing financial markets to new highs while business and consumer confidence have risen in spite of still sluggish growth. Investors hope that fiscal stimulus, infrastructure spending, tax reform and deregulation will boost growth and markets. A honeymoon can continue for quite a while if positive policies are properly implemented. But markets may be overestimating Trump’s ability to deliver positive policy changes and the impact of such changes on a potential growth that is kept low by longer term and structural forces. Markets may also be underestimating some of the potential negatives of Trumponomics: protectionism and the risk of trade wars; restrictions to migration that may slow growth in an ageing society; inefficient micro-management of the decisions of the corporate sector on where to produce, invest and hire; a sub-optimal policy mix with loose fiscal policy in an economy close to full employment that will force the Fed to tighten sooner and more; that could lead to higher interest rates and a stronger dollar that will hurt jobs and growth. Roubini argues that the jury is still out on whether Trumponomics will be more populist and protectionist or more mainstream and pragmatic, even if the latter scenario looks more likely.
"It would be impossible to walk away from a presentation by Dr. Roubini and not be completely in awe of his intelligence and knowledge, his presentation skills, and his ability to engage and interact with people and “get them thinking.” As one of our partners said, “There was six hours of information in his three-hour presentation.” Needless to say, we found Dr. Roubini’s remarks invaluable and very much enjoyed having him with us. I would welcome the opportunity to work with American Program Bureau in the future."
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